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When the prize money at TI is $40 million, match fixing is much less likely - SVG

Casters Austin 'Capitalist' Walsh and Avery 'SVG' Silverman spoke on the Not For Broadcast podcast about the situation with PlayTime at the Esports World Cup 2026, and also discussed how players’ participation in…

ColdMath EditorialJuly 21, 20264 min read
Когда призовой на TI составляет 40 миллионов долларов, вероятность договорных матчей гораздо ниже — SVG cover
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Casters Austin 'Capitalist' Walsh and Avery 'SVG' Silverman spoke on the Not For Broadcast podcast about the situation with PlayTime at the Esports World Cup 2026, and also discussed how the participation of players in fake matches at a major tournament could affect the pro scene.

Capitalist: Do you believe they were actually doing this? Let's start with this.

SVG: Yes, I believe.

Capitalist: I believe it too. I know that there were people who at first, when the match was first postponed, were skeptical about it, thinking that there was a bug or that someone was abusing the bugs. It seems to me that this is all because the organizers did not come out and say directly and harshly: “We caught these guys in fake matches, they are banned.” This is exactly what people want. They want a clear statement. Moreover, I want published evidence so that everyone can view and discuss it. But we both think that they actually did it, and of course it's very lousy.

Capitalist: Have you ever thought that one of your former teammates was involved in fake matches?

SVG: For them to do such nonsense? No. Even if there was even a 1% chance, I wouldn't play with them. At least until it was irrefutably proven - either confirmed or completely refuted.

Capitalist: What about rivals? Any suspicions?

SVG: No. I would also refuse to play against them or immediately raise this issue. Fortunately, this has never happened in my career, as far as I remember. Although, of course, times were different, the stakes were also different. You know, when the prize pool at TI is $40 million, the likelihood of match fixing is much lower. It's just a fact.

When the value of victories for individual teams decreases... Yes, you can say that there is a lot of money circulating in the ecosystem as a whole throughout the year. This is true. But if you're talking about a team that doesn't qualify for every tournament and only plays two LAN events a year, only one of which has a really big prize pool, then the risk/reward ratio starts to shift a lot.

It is impossible to completely prevent match fixing if there are people who offer so much money that for some players it inevitably becomes too attractive an option.

Capitalist: I saw rumors - simple stuff on the Internet - they were talking about a million dollars.

SVG: No.

Capitalist: I also heard about a more modest amount - $10,000.

SVG : All this talk about millions comes from the fact that you can look at the total volume of bets on a match. Yes, millions of dollars could actually bet on a certain match. But this does not mean that all this money is related to the match fixing or that it was placed by one person. So this is nonsense.

This comes up all the time, and it always turns out to be bullshit. There will be some person who will look at the statistics and say: “They bet a million dollars on this match!” It seems to me that in the situation with PlayTime we were not talking about such amounts. I can’t say for sure, but, in my opinion, this is exactly the case when the risk-benefit ratio was clearly not in their favor. They just acted very stupidly.

SVG : I hope this doesn't have too much of an impact on the game itself or the esports ecosystem. But the more often this happens... And we have already had many similar cases. For that matter, I think Dota has largely just glossed over this.

If any large organizations were involved in this, or if major media outlets were seriously involved in this, the story would have been blown out to much larger proportions. Although, I think in sports, most leagues generally prefer to hush up such things. Take the NBA, for example - there are also plenty of scandals related to betting, and every time they try to hush it all up.

Previously, Avery 'SVG' Silverman discussed the results of the Esports World Cup 2026, the modern late-game meta, and also outlined the problems of Virtus.pro, Aurora Gaming and Team Spirit.

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Source: Dota2.ru

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